Posts Tagged ‘wheat’

Rust Never Sleeps

By admin, April 6, 2011

As a new stem rust pathogen spreads across Africa, world wheat production is threatened

In the mid ‘50s, 40 per cent of western Canada’s wheat crop was wiped out by stem rust, then known as the polio of agriculture. Thanks to Norman Borlaug and the Green Revolution wheat breeders have developed varieties with genes that are resistant to the stem rust with no incidence reported in almost 50 years.

However, a new strain of stem rust – P. graminis – was discovered in Uganda in 1999. Ug99 is able to attack approximately 80 per cent of wheat varieties world-wide, is spread by the wind so it travels very easily.

The pathogen has been found in Ethiopia, Iran, Zimbabwe and South Africa, soon to be knocking on India and China’s doors, the world’s biggest wheat consumers. That’s more than a billion people threatened.  Just a single spore – as tiny as red blood cell – could easily makes it way to North America, latched on to the shirt of an  unsuspecting tourist.

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Unless stopped, the pathogen could wreak havoc on the world’s wheat supply which provides a third of our calories. According to an article in the March 2010 issue of Wired, “a single hectare of infected wheat releases upwards of 10 billion spores, any one of which can cause the epidemic to spread. The circumstances have to be just right, though – the prevailing winds must blow toward an area of wheat cultivation, and the P.graminis spores must survive the airborne journey.”

The race is on to build varieties with resistant genes but it could take as long as 10 years to develop a breeding line. Leading the charge is Cornell University, which recently received a five-year grant of $40 million from the United Kingdom’s Department of International Development (DFID) and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to combat the disease.

The grant was made to the Durable Rust Resistance in Wheat (DRRW)  project at Cornell which is working to identify new stem rust resistant genes in wheat, improve surveillance, and multiply and distribute wheat seed that is rust resistant to farmers.

Thanks to the concerted efforts of the DRRW researchers have distributed new resistant wheat varieties for testing and evaluation in 40 countries. According to Cornell University, they have “have strengthened nurseries in Kenya and Ethiopia for screening wheat for vulnerability to rusts and distributed nearly five tons of Ug99-resistant seed for planting in the at-risk nations of Ethiopia, Kenya, Egypt, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh and Nepal.”

Interested in learning more about what’s being done to combat rust? The best place to go is the Borlaug Global Rust Initiative.

Founded by the late Dr. Borlaug in 2005, the initiative is a resource for international research and policy makers about the rusts in wheat.

Ron Wall is constantly on the quest for insights to fuel his relentless creativity. He can be contacted directly at Ron.Wall@adfarmonline.com

GMO wheat still years away from farmers’ fields

By Haleigh Packer, March 29, 2011

“The train is out of the station,” as Monsanto brings the idea of genetically modified wheat technology to the world market for a second time. Now focusing on DNA traits such as resistance to drought, disease and nitrogen deficiency, Monsanto hopes for more of a welcoming reception than the first time around.

However, Monsanto is not alone in developing new wheat varieties – all the major plant breeding companies have launched wheat breeding programs in the last two years.

Sean Gardner, Monsanto Global Wheat Lead, explained the advantages of biotechnology and what’s in store for wheat in the future to attendees at the FarmTech 2011 conference held in Edmonton earlier this year.

With about 500 million dedicated acres across the globe, wheat is the world’s largest crop.  However, the income from wheat is lower than the crops benefiting from genetically modified technology such as corn, soybeans and cotton.  Based on the acceptance of GM technology in those crops, there is good reason to believe that the same will apply to wheat.

“We can take what we have learned in corn breeding and apply it to wheat,” says Gardner.

However, Monsanto does not intend to bring Roundup Ready wheat as a standalone product; instead the crop DNA will have a mixture of traits such as drought resistance that will result in higher yields. As a result, the genetically modified wheat will increase crop yields up to 10 to 15 per cent.

Because Monsanto is in the early stages of development, field trials aren’t expected to begin for the next couple of years.  It will be at least 13 to 15 years until genetically modified wheat will be on the market.

For the short-term, Monsanto’s focus will be on breeding technology, which has power to drive for higher yield production. The development of combining biotechnology traits such as drought, disease and herbicide resistance is Monsanto’s long-term goal.

Growers in the United States have expressed more interest in this idea compared to Canadian growers but Gardner hopes to that with more cooperation from the Canadian Wheat Board, that attitude will change.

What do you think about genetically modified wheat?

Haleigh Packer is a practicum student in AdFarm’s Calgary office. You can follow her on Twitter @HHKPacker.

Bullish Surprise for Corn in February USDA Report.

By erin jarolimek, February 11, 2010

AdFarm has lots of friends: farmers, ranchers, media and a variety of ag professionals. One of our friends, Jody Miller,  is a market analyst at Northern Ag Incorporated (an affiliate of Midwest Futures, Inc.).  Jody and her husband Aaron farm in the Goodridge, MN area.

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Tuesday morning, USDA released the Supply and Demand Report for February. The following is Jody’s commentary regarding the release of the report.

Soybeans

The soybean figures released were friendly as USDA lowered US soybean ending stocks by 35 million bushels which was a slightly larger number than what trade was expecting. Soybean exports have had a great year, and this is why we are looking at these current price levels.  But, despite the success with US exports, we should and will likely see levels drop off this year as we wait and watch the South American harvest get into full swing shortly.

Supportive news is coming from the biodiesel aspect of the market – but don’t look for that extra use to cause any tightness to stocks in 2010, but it could come more into effect in the out-years.

Corn

The US corn ending stocks figure came as the biggest surprise on the USDA report as trade was expecting to see an increase in ending stocks. Instead, we got a decrease of 45 million bushels.  This decrease came from an increase in food/seed/industrial use, an increase in ethanol use and domestic use.  These increases were partially offset by a decrease in export projections. Overall, the report was friendly to corn but we only saw a slightly higher finish on that day’s trading session.

It doesn’t appear that corn has definitely put in a market bottom, but with the huge drop the market has received since Jan 12 (the date of the last monthly S&D report) we should be able to see more of a bounce in prices to come.  It wouldn’t be out of the question to see the market bounce 30 cents off its recent lows but be cautious on expecting any further gains as the fundamentals remain bearish.

Wheat

The USDA report figures came as no surprise to the wheat market as both US and world stocks continue to grow, reaffirming the bearish stance taken on over the past month.  It appears that we are going to trade in the current range with a bias towards the downward side until we receive any weather news coming out of winter wheat country.  At that time, we will begin to focus on the 6 million fewer winter wheat acres that were planted last fall and the crop condition as it breaks dormancy.  But until then, expect wheat to migrate in a sideways to slightly lower pattern as we focus on bigger carryouts and slow demand.

The outside markets have been quite volatile lately as the US dollar has strengthened and energies have weakened.  Look for the outside markets to also play an influential role in grains over the next couple months as well.  The other big item that trade will be watching is to see what the extra 6 million acres will get planted to this year.  (Recall the 6 million fewer winter wheat acres that were planted in the fall of 2009.)  There are a lot of variables to watch this year and the markets show no signs of becoming dull!

As we look to 2010 – which crops do you think will be most promising?

Erin Jarolimek utilizes her connections in agriculture daily to help make her client’s work more insightful. You can reach her directly at Erin.Jarolimek@adfarmonline.com

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/CropProd/CropProd-02-09-2010.pdf